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To examine how human capital accumulation influences both economic growth and income inequality, we carefully endogenize the demand and supply of skills. We explicitly introduce the costs and externalities in education, and examine how both relate to learning-by-doing and R&D intensity. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781636
Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907940
Trade theories covering Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) are as diverse as the literature in search of their empirical support. To account for the model uncertainty that surrounds the validity of the competing PTA theories, we introduce Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to the PTA literature....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143372
This paper examines how the accumulation of human capital determines both a country's growth rate and income inequality. In contrast to previous work, we do not rely on credit market imperfections or political economy arguments. The insight of this model is that inequality is determined by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106806
We examine multinationals' optimal entry modes into foreign markets as a function of market size, FDI fixed costs, tariffs and transport costs. Our results highlight why large countries are more likely to attract acquisition investment, while intermediate sized countries may be served...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106809
The literature on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) determinants is remarkably diverse in terms of competing theories and empirical results. We utilize Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to resolve the model uncertainty that surrounds the validity of the competing FDI theories. Since the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106816
The introduction of the euro generated substantial interest in measuring the impact of currency unions (CUs) on trade flows. Rose's (2000) initial estimates suggested a tripling of trade and created a literature in search of more reasonable CU effects. A recent meta-analysis of this literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003901367
US productivity growth surged twice post 1995 and post 2000. In contrast Germany registered two successive productivity reductions during that same period of time. Previous analysis of the post-2000 decline has been limited, however, by the short time series of the available data. In this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008858926
The hallmark of the recent development and growth literature is a quest to identify institutions that explain a significant portion of the observed differences in living standards across countries. Empirical work in the area focuses almost exclusively on either the global sample or on developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439366