In this paper we investigate empirical specification of smooth transition error correction models (STECMs). These models can be used to describe linear long-run relationships between nonstationary variables where adjustment towards equilibrium is nonlinear and can depend on exogenous variables....

In this paper we investigate empirical specification of smooth transition error correction models (STECMs). These models can be used to describe linear long-run relationships between nonstationary variables where adjustment towards equilibrium is nonlinear and can depend on exogenous variables....

Among nonparametric smoothers, there is a well-known correspondence between kernel and Fourier series methods, pivoted by the Fourier transform of the kernel. This suggests a similar relationship between kernel and spline estimators. A known special case is the result of Silverman (1984) on the...

This paper explores the extent to which goods follow systematic pricing patterns over their life cycle. The theoretical literature, and anecdotal evidence, often suggests that new products are often introduced at high prices which decline as the good ages while, older goods exit the market at a...

This paper explores the extent to which goods follow systematic pricing patterns over their life cycle. The theoretical literature, and anecdotal evidence, suggests that new products are often introduced at high prices which decline as the good ages while, older goods exit the market at a...

We develop a method for estimating the functional surface of a regression coefficient that varies over a complex spatial domain with irregular boundaries, peninsulas and interior holes. The method is motivated by, and applied to, data on housing markets, where the central object of inference is...

Literature has documented tremendous changes in classical regression analysis techniques since 1980s. The drawbacks of simple and multiple parametric regression analyses on model specifications and the non-robust assumption of error terms followed by the introduction of a series of diagnostic...

This study investigates exchange rate movements in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS) and in the Exchange Rate Mechanism II (ERM-II). On the basis of the variant of the target zone model proposed by Bartolini and Prati (1999) and Bessec (2003), we set up a...

Time series evidence on exchange rates has been unable to reject the random walk hypothesis. A simple structural model that accounts for target zone nonlinearities provides conclusive evidence of mean reversion in EMS exchange rates.