This article examines the usefulness of listing prices as leading indicators of house values and as predictors of the direction of housing markets. With Multiple Listing Service data from a large metropolitan area, we create two price indexes, using first listing price and then selling price as...

Option theory offers a useful way of modeling land value under uncertainty. While this approach underlies much theoretical analysis, the unanswered question is, to what extent does the market value of land reflect this option value? This paper exploits a unique natural experiment to obtain the...

Under certainty, unlimited duration of private ownership of land provides landowners with efficient development incentives. However, in cases of ownership risk arising from title mistakes, fraud, boundary encroachment, or adverse possession, the statute of limitations sets a limit on how long...

Loan-to-value ratio and debt service coverage ratios have long been viewed as the two important quantitative measures of the default risk of commercial mortgages. Option-based models of default provide strong theoretic support for the importance of original loan-to-value ratio. The same...

This study investigates REIT's momentum returns in different market states, and explains the momentum phenomenon with a risk-based dividend growth theory of Johnson (2002). Results show that momentum returns of REITs are higher during up markets. This study finds that winners' dividend/price...

This research studies the acquisition and disposition of real estate assets by non-real estate firms from 1981 through 1986. Contrary to previous studies of real estate assets, we find no abnormal performance associated with the buyers of real estate assets and only weak evidence of excess...

This paper reexamines variations in office building rents using data for a six-year period in a medium-sized city. Previous literature has relied on estimates using OLS estimation of standard fixed-effects models. We test for structural shifts and parameter constancy using random effects on...

This research analyses the effect of public transport accessibility on the prices of flats in Hong Kong. In order to correctly identify the impact of transport convenience, we estimate regression models by regions in bear and bull markets separately. In addition, we consider the standard pricing...

We create market-based measures from options data to predict changes in REIT capital structure. REIT capital structure differs from that of typical listed firms: REITs have high leverage ratios of about 50 percent, their use of short-term debt is higher and more volatile, and debt issuance and...

This research studies the effects of macroeconomic factors on liquidity, focusing on the pricing of liquidity. By applying cross-sectional tests, we obtain the monthly price of liquidity. Overall, the results show that the growth rate in industrial production has significant contemporaneous...