Various authors claim to have found evidence of stochastic long‐memory behavior in futures’ contract returns using the Hurst statistic. This paper reexamines futures’ returns for evidence of persistent behavior using a biased‐corrected version of the Hurst statistic, a nonparametric...

This dissertation develops a modeling framework for univariate and multivariate zero-inflated time series of counts and applies the models in a clustering scheme to identify groups of count series with similar behavior. The basic modeling framework used is observation-driven Poisson regression...

We present new methods for modelling nonlinear threshold-type autoregressive behaviour in periodically correlated time series. The methods are illustrated using a series of average monthly flows of the Fraser River in British Columbia. Commonly used nonlinearity tests of the river flow data in...

We propose a new semiparametric estimator of the degree of persistence in volatility forlong memory stochastic volatility (LMSV) models. The estimator uses the periodogram ofthe log squared returns in a local Whittle criterion which explicitly accounts for the noise term in the LMSV model....

We propose a new semiparametric estimator of the degree of persistence in volatility forlong memory stochastic volatility (LMSV) models. The estimator uses the periodogram ofthe log squared returns in a local Whittle criterion which explicitly accounts for the noise term in the LMSV model....

We describe a Bayesian method for detecting structural changes in a long-range dependent process. In particular, we focus on changes in the long-range dependence parameter, d, and changes in the process level, p. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are used to estimate the posterior...

This paper proposes spectral and asymmetric-volatility based methods for cluster analysis of stock returns. Using the information about both the periodogram of the squared returns and the estimated parameters in the TARCH equation, we compute a distance matrix for the stock returns. Clusters are...

In statistical data analysis it is often important to compare, classify, and cluster different time series. For these purposes various methods have been proposed in the literature, but they usually assume time series with the same sample size. In this paper, we propose a spectral domain method...

Previous studies have investigated the comovements of international equity returns by using mean correlations, cointegration, common factor analysis, and other approaches. This paper investigates the evolution of the affinity among major euro and non-euro area stock markets in the period...

In this paper, we introduce a volatility-based method for clustering analysis of financial time series. Using the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models we estimate the distances between the stock return volatilities. The proposed method uses the volatility...