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This paper considers nine long Swedish macroeconomic time series whose business cycle properties were discussed by Englund, Persson, and Svensson (1992) using frequency domain techniques. It is found by testing that all but two of the logarithmed and difference series are non-linear. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423876
When testing the null hypothesis of linearity of a univariate time series against smooth transition autoregression (STAR), standard asymptotic distribution results do not apply since nuisance parameters in the model are unidentified under the null hypothesis. The prevailing test of Luukkonen,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649293
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815962
This paper proposes a methodology for building Multivariate Time-Varying STCC-GARCH models. The novel contributions in this area are the specification tests related to the correlation component, the extension of the general model to allow for additional correlation regimes, and a detailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281494
In this paper we propose a Lagrange multiplier test for volatility interactions among markets or assets. The null hypothesis is the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH model in which volatility of an asset is described only through lagged squared innovations and volatility of its own. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423784
In this paper we introduce the STAR-STGARCH model that can characterize nonlinear behaviour both in the conditional mean and the conditional variance. A modelling cycle for this family of models, consisting of specification, estimation, and evaluation stages is constructed. Misspecification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423839
In this paper, we propose two parametric alternatives to the standard GARCH model. They allow the conditional variance to have a smooth time-varying structure of either additive or multiplicative type. The suggested parameterizations describe both nonlinearity and structural change in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423887
This article contains a review of multivariate GARCH models. Most common GARCH models are presented and their properties considered. This also includes semiparametric and nonparametric GARCH models. Existing specification and misspecification tests are discussed. Finally, there is an empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961388
This paper contains a survey of univariate models of conditional heteroskedasticity. The classical ARCH model is mentioned, and various extensions of the standard GARCH model are highlighted. This includes the Exponential GARCH model. Stochastic volatility models remain outside this review.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961390
In this note, we consider the contradiction between the fact that the best fit for the UK consumption data in Davidson et al. (1978) is obtained using an equation with an intercept but without an error correction term, whereas the equation with error correction and without the intercept has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649132