In intertemporal asset pricing models, transaction costs are usually neglected. In this paper we explicitly incorporate transaction costs in these models and analyze to what extent this extension is helpful in explaining the cross-section of expected returns. An empirical analysis using CRSP...

In this paper, we analyze the economic value of predicting index returns as well as volatility. On the basis of fairly simple linear models, estimated recursively, we produce genuine out-of-sample forecasts for the return on the Samp;P 500 index and its volatility. Using monthly data from 1954...

This paper develops a novel approach to simultaneously test for market timing in stock index returns and volatility. The tests are based on the estimation of a system of regression equations with indicator variables and provide detailed information about the statistical significance of...

In this paper we formulate two tractable two-factor affine term structure models, imposing weak assumptions on the distributions of the measurement errors involved in the different yields. Exploiting the implied moment conditions, the models are estimated by the generalized method of moments...

Poor performing mutual funds are less likely to be observed in the data sets that are typically available. This so-called survivor problem can induce a substantial bias in measures of the performance of the funds and the persistence of this performance. Many studies have recently argued that...

Linear regression is a powerful tool for investigating the relationships between multiple variables by relating one variable to a set of variables. It can identify the effect of one variable while adjusting for other observable differences. For example, it can analyze how wages relate to gender,...

In this paper we analyze the persistence of US REITs over the period 1990-2005. By employing a novel methodological approach we shed new light on whether investors can pick winners by simply looking at past performance. The private real estate industry is notorious for its lack of informational...