In this paper we briefly review Bayesian and frequentist prediction inference for time series, and then advocate the use of guaranteed-content prediction intervals. These intervals are such that their content (or coverage) is guaranteed with a given high probability. They, thus, are more...

How has the European monetary integration, with the creation of the EMU, affected the stability and volatility of foreign exchange? In order to answer this question, stability and volatility measures are defined and calculated. We then use these to investigate the changes in the stability and...

Several studies have suggested that education is associated with later retirement from the labour market. In this paper, we examine whether adult education, involving enrolees aged 42 or above, delays retirement to potentially increase labour force participation among the elderly. With Swedish...

We show that in sorting cross-sectional data, the endogeneity of a variable may be successfully detected by graphically examining the cumulative sum of the recursive residuals. An interesting case arises with a continuous or ordered (e.g., years of schooling) endogenous variable. Then, a...

Governments in the US, Canada and Europe have expressed an ambition to stimulate education of older. In this paper, we analyze if there are effects on annual earnings of formal education for participants aged 42-55 at the time of enrolment in 1994-1995. The analysis explores longitudinal...

The purpose of the paper is to study how changes in the Swedish tax system have influenced stock prices and trading volumes around the ex-dividend day. The hypothesis that the ex-dividend price ratio is unaffected by the relatively large tax policy changes in Sweden cannot be rejected, and the...

The purpose of this paper is to study the intra-household allocation of time to several household production activities using Swedish cross-sectional household data. The Tobit model is rejected in favor of the Cragg model, suggesting that the intra-household time allocation is best modeled by a...

In this paper, a Poisson regression model is used to study the determinants of entry of new firms into the Swedish retail- and wholesale trade markets. The results suggest that incumbent firms engage in strategic behavior to prevent the entry of newcomers. Regional factors are also found to be...

The purpose of the paper is to study the effects of taxation on dividend payments and ex-dividend price changes in Sweden during 1991-1995. Under this period, dividends and capital gains were taxed at a flat rate. Tax changes in Sweden during the 1990s thus provide an opportunity to include...

This paper analyzes whether households use house interest deductions to minimize family tax payment. By applying a household model in which tax deductions are associated with a cost, we relate the likelihood of minimizing the tax payment to variables associated with the budget constraint and...