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The Heckscher-Ohlin theory and the Ricardian theory of international commerce traditionally have been treated as separate conceptual frameworks, but a growing body of empirical work is relying on both simultaneously and calls for an integrated theory. This paper combines the Heckscher-Ohlin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009693899
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003548980
This paper uses a Ceridian transaction-by-transaction data set on purchases of diesel fuel by over-the-road truckers to form a monthly diesel volume purchase index from 1999 to 2011, purged of weekday, holiday and calendar effects. These high-frequency data support a new and improved set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461760
Monthly US data on payroll employment, civilian employment, industrial production and the unemployment rate are used to define a recession-dating algorithm that nearly perfectly reproduces the NBER official peak and trough dates. The only substantial point of disagreement is with respect to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464426
Of the components of GDP, residential investment offers by far the best early warning sign of an oncoming recession. Since World War II we have had eight recessions preceded by substantial problems in housing and consumer durables. Housing did not give an early warning of the Department of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465221
Graphs that allow side by side comparisons of the six longer US expansions since 1950 suggest that these expansions have four distinct phases: (1) a high growth recovery during which the rate of unemployment declines to its pre-recession level, (2) a modest growth plateau during which the rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470534
This paper embeds variable effort into a traditional multi-sector model. Effort enters a production function like total-factor-productivity and on the assumption that effort doesn't affect capital depreciation, the capital-cost savings from high effort operations are passed on to workers. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473030
The net imports of labor embodied in international trade has been a fairly small and stable share of the US labor force. From this some conclude that trade has not been a major contributor to the income inequality trends. This is a non sequitur. The labor embodied in trade is jointly determined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473414
Economic growth in Europe and Asia and Latin America could have contri- buted in many different ways to lower wages and increased income inequality that the United States has been experiencing. One plausible model that links external product markets to internal labor markets is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473437
A free trade agreement supports global free trade since trade barriers tend to divert trade in favor of members, but not reduce imports. The term: 'mutual assured deterrence' is used to refer to a regional free trade association that has the feature that no member can gain individually from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474172