This paper considers the extent to which fluctuations in Australian economic growth are affected by domestic and overseas economic performance. We investigate the performance of a range of non-linear models versus linear models using Bayes factors and posterior odds ratios. The posterior odds...

Since 1975, an increase in the return to skill (measured by years of education), in the percentage of the labor force that is skilled, and in the variance of wage income within skill categories have characterized the U.S. labor market. While the first two facts point towards an increase in the...

This paper investigates the finite sample performance of three semiparametric estimators of the Box-Cox model. Two of the semiparametric estimators are the nonlinear two-stage least squares (NL2SLS) estimator proposed by Amemiya and Powell (1981) and a rescaled version (RNL2SLS) proposed by...

We conduct Monte Carlo experiments to examine whether the Hansen and Jagannathan (1991) bound is a useful device for evaluating asset pricing models. Specifically, we use recently developed statistical tests, which are based on a 'distance' between the model and the Hansen-Jagannathan bound, to...

This paper is concerned with testing the hypothesis that a conditional median function is linear against a nonparametric alternative with unknown smoothness. We develop a test that is uniformly consistent against alternatives whose distance from the linear model converges to zero at the fastest...

In this paper, the conventional test of the Sharpe-Lintner version of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) are reconsidered. The CAPM is formulated as a Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) system with an adding-up restriction. A statistical framework for conducting the conventional tests is...

We develop a new test of a parametric model of a conditional mean function against a nonparametric alternative. The test adapts to the unknown smoothness of the alternative model and is uniformly consistent against alternatives whose distance from the parametric model converges to zero at the...

The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration’s (DEA’s) STRIDE data contain records of acquisitions of illegal drugs by undercover agents and informants of the DEA and Metropolitan Police of the District of Columbia. These data are widely used in economic analyses of markets for illegal drugs....

This paper is concerned with evaluating alternative unemployment insurance (UI) schemes in a dynamic economy with moral hazard. We consider changes in the size and duration of UI benefits, and the effects of experience rating, and use a dynamic contracting approach to determine a benchmark...