Long-run economic growth is analysed in a global model with many small countriesprone to national level total factor productivity shocks. The possibility ofprecautionary saving or dissaving is a function of the higher-order moments and thecross-moments of the factor income distributions, which...

We consider the effects of an imperfectly competitive banking sector on the capital stock in a version of the two-period Diamond OLG model, focusing on how profits are returned. There are two broad alternatives: profits may be taxed and returned to households exogenously as fiscal transfers or...

The abolition or reform of unfunded pensions will generally make members of a transitional generation worse-off, because of the "double burden" of funding their own retirement along with that of paying off the unfunded pension liability. Reform will also lower the time-path of interest rates,...

Theoretical models of the exchange rate are developed where information on the model is not fully available to agents. It is an application of Benjamin Friedman's (1979) theme that full rational expectations may be a possibility only in the long-run, even for completely rational individuals. The...

This paper analyses a model of overlapping generations in which agents who do not participate in th elabor market are unable to borrow. Thus an increase in a fully funded pension raises aggregate savings even with a fixed participation rate since private savings are not crowded out one-for-one....

The transition from unfunded pensions may impose a "double burden" on a transitional generation, which must both pay taxes to finance current pension liabilities and save for their own retirement. There are also economic gains which will accrue to future generations from increased rates of...

A number of studies have found a negative relationship between macroeconomic volatility and economic growth. We show this may be explained by a portfolio effect within a finite horizon model, where a safer asset, for example, public debt, is less productive than capital.

This paper analyses a model of overlapping generations in which agents who do not participate in th elabor market are unable to borrow. Thus an increase in a fully funded pension raises aggregate savings even with a fixed participation rate since private savings are not crowded out one-for-one....