This study investigates the usefulness and efficacy of a multiobjective decision method for financial trading guided by a set of seemingly diverse analysts' forecasts. The paper proposes a goal programming (GP) approach which combines various forecasts based on the performance of their previous...

Predicting currency movements has always been a problematic task as most conventional econometric models are not able to forecast exchange rates with significantly higher accuracy than a naive random walk model. For large multinational firms which conduct substantial currency transfers in the...

In the last decade, neural networks have drawn noticeable attention from many computer and operations researchers. While some previous studies have found encouraging results with using this artificial intelligence technique to predict the movements of established financial markets, it is...

Many studies have found underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) and attributed the underpricing to information asymmetry either between issuers and underwriters or between informed and uninformed investors. However, by observing the distribution of initial returns on stocks after their...

Despite abundant research which focuses on estimating the level of return on stock market index, there is a lack of studies examining the predictability of the direction/sign of stock index movement. Given the notion that a prediction with little forecast error does not necessarily translate...

This paper examines trading imbalance as well as traditional trading variables in the volume-volatility relation in futures market. Unlike the majority of studies which utilize daily data, our empirical investigation compares an array of intraday frequencies (from five minutes to one hour) with...

The number of statistically detectable Beta regime changes a portfolio experienced in the past is a natural proxy for ex ante quot;Beta regime change riskquot; of the portfolio. This study applies newly developed statistical tests of multiple structural breaks to investigate whether Beta regime...

This paper applies linear and nonlinear Granger causality tests to examine the dynamic relation between London Metal Exchange (LME) cash prices and three possible predictors. The analysis uses matched quarterly inventory, UK Treasury bill interest rates, futures prices and cash prices for the...