The ratio of Indian to US per capita output over the past 45 years has displayed a distinctive V-shaped pattern. We show that a strikingly similar V-shaped pattern is visible not just in aggregate output .figures, but also as the primary determinant of long-term movements in the cross-sectional...

We provide a microfounded account of imperfect information in a dynamic general equilibrium model by describing heterogeneous households that acquire information only through their participation in markets. Thus incomplete markets will imply incomplete information. We solve the model taking full...

Following Bai (2004) and Bai and Ng (2004) we estimate a common factor representation of a panel of output series for India, disaggregated by 15 states and 14 broad industry groups. We find that a single common V-Factor accounts for a large part of the significant shift in the cross-sectional...

In Ghate & Wright Journal of Development Economics, vol. 99 (2012) pp 58-67, we noted that there was considerable variation in the extent to which different Indian states participated in the Great Indian Growth Turnaround. In this paper we investigate whether there was any systematic...

Any non-stationary series can be decomposed into permanent (or "trend") and transitory (or "cycle") components. Typically some atheoretic pre-filtering procedure is applied to extract the permanent component. This paper argues that analysis of the fundamental underlying stationary economic...

The ratio of Indian to US per capita output over the past 45 years has displayed a distinctive "V"-shaped pattern. We show that a strikingly similar V-shaped pattern is visible not just in aggregate output figures, but also as the primary determinant of long-term movements in the cross-sectional...

In Ghate & Wright Journal of Development Economics, vol. 99 (2012) pp 58–67, it was noted that there was considerable variation in the extent to which different Indian states participated in the Great Indian Growth Turnaround. In this paper it is investigated whether there was any...

A predictive regression for y(t) and a time series representation of the predictors, x(t), together imply a univariate reduced form for y(t). In this paper we work backwards, and ask: if we observe y(t), what do its univariate properties tell us about any x(t) in the "predictive space"...

In 1997 the new Labour government launched major initiatives in the area of financial regulation, setting up the Financial Services Authority as a comprehensive regulatory body, supported by the legislative framework of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. We evaluate the Labour...