Long-run economic growth is analysed in a global model with many small countries prone to national level total factor productivity shocks. The possibility of precautionary saving or dissaving is a function of the higher-order moments and the cross-moments of the factor income distributions,...

It is known from Grout (1984) that if the investment decision by the firm precedes the wage bargain, it will be unable implicitly to share the cost of capital with its workforce through negotiating a lower wage, and that this leads to under-investment. However, in a model, where there is...

Over the past decade, nighttime lights have become a widely used proxy for measuring economic activity. This paper examines the potential for high frequency nighttime lights data to provide “near real-time” tracking of the economic impacts of the COVID-19 crisis in Morocco. At the national...

Over the past decade, nighttime lights have become a widely used proxy for measuring economic activity. This paper examines the potential for high frequency nighttime lights data to provide "near real-time" tracking of the economic impacts of the COVID-19 crisis in Morocco. At the national...

Amid continuing urban growth and the accelerating effects of climate change, East Asian cities suffer from more extreme temperatures than surrounding rural areas - being up to 2 degrees Celsius hotter on average. This urban heat island (UHI) effect is caused by cities' relative lack of...

A switch from a Bismarckian (BIS) earnings-related to a Beveridgean (BEV) flat ratepay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension scheme will raise the variance of personal replacementratios and, hence, the variance of individual interest-saving elasticities. A monopolisticfinancial sector can then make greater...

We develop a two-country labour-market model characterised by union wage-bargaining, in which the unemployed incur individual-specific costs of seeking work abroad. We explore the effects on equilibrium unemployment and population in each country of changes in union bargaining strength,...

This paper analyses a model of overlapping generations in which agents who do notparticipate in the labor market are unable to borrow. Thus an increase in a fullyfunded pension raises aggregate savings even with a fixed participation rate, sinceprivate savings are not crowded out one-for-one....

We reconsider pay-as-you-go pensions (PAYG) policy in a version of the Diamond(1965) overlapping generations model with an imperfectly competitive financialsector and with a low rate of tax on its profits. PAYG then has two effects on capital:the well-known negative crowding-out effect in...

If unfunded pensions crowd-out private savings, pensions reform should raise the timepath of capital. Even if reform has long-run benefits, there will still be a “doubleburden”problem for a transitional generation. Assuming that there is an asset whichdiscounts the present value of an income...