We investigate the impact of a change in the Czech early retirement scheme on the labor force participation of older male workers. Using the difference-in-differences method we find that a reduction in early retirement benefits by 2–3% leads to approximately the same decrease in the...

The authors investigate the impact of a change in the Czech early retirement scheme on the labor force participation of older male workers. Using the difference-in-differences method they find that a reduction in early retirement benefits by 2–3% leads to significant decrease in the...

Görtz et al. (2022) estimate the effects of innovations to future total factor productivity (TFP) on financial markets. In a Bayesian vector autoregression, they identify a TFP news shock as one that explains the largest share of 40- quarter ahead forecast error variance (FEV) of TFP. Their...

This study pushes our understanding of research reliability by reproducing and replicating claims from 110 papers in leading economic and political science journals. The analysis involves computational reproducibility checks and robustness assessments. It reveals several patterns. First, we...

Two years after the end of the 2007-09 recession, the unemployment rate in the United States remains above 9 percent - roughly double its pre-recession level. ; Nie and Struby analyze the cyclical and structural components of this elevated level of unemployment, active and passive labor market...

We estimate the effects of the 2000-2002 Treasury Buyback program on Treasury returns and the Federal Reserve’s System Open Market Account (SOMA) portfolio. The buybacks had statistically significant, but economically very modest, effects on both bonds and bonds of similar securities: by...

I estimate a term structure model of Treasury yields where information about macroeconomic conditions is dispersed: traders form beliefs by combining prices with idiosyncratic signals about fundamentals. Econometrically, yields and inflation forecasts identify traders' information. Despite...