This paper analyzes security-market returns relative to the political party of the president, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, the year of the president's term, and the state of political gridlock. Contrary to prior studies, which evaluated the influences separately, we jointly evaluate...

We perform a comprehensive evaluation of the benefits of emerging market equities by extending previous research in four fundamental ways. The contribution of this study is that it 1) evaluates a more complete sample; 2) examines performance measures that account for asymmetric return...

We evaluate the investment benefits of dividend-paying stocks and make three major findings. First, high-dividend stocks have the least risk, yet return over 1.5% more per year than non-dividend payers. Second, the benefit of targeting dividend payers is conditional on investment style....

We find evidence of a systematic link between monetary conditions and inter-temporal variation in the price of liquidity. Specifically, following an expansive monetary policy shift, funding conditions improve and market-wide liquidity increases, which is especially beneficial for illiquid...

We provide evidence on the role of commodity futures in portfolios comprised of stocks, bonds, T‐bills, and real estate. Over the period investigated (1973–1997), Markowitz optimization over a range of risk levels gives substantial weight to commodity futures, thereby enhancing the...

We find strong evidence linking the momentum pattern in equity returns with a prominent measure of macroeconomic conditions, specifically the funding environment. We show that the size and consistency of the momentum premium varies systematically across funding states. Furthermore, we find...

Calling firms experience increases in systematic business risk following conversion-forcing calls of convertible debt. The increases in business risk are sufficiently large to offset the reductions in financial risk coming from the reduction in financial leverage following the call. As a result,...

Previous research attributes long-run reversals to investor over-reaction or tax-motivated trading; we offer an alternative explanation based on aggregate funding conditions. Our evidence shows that prices rebound for stocks that have performed poorly over the past several years (Losers);...

Abstract Health impact simulation models are used to predict how a proposed policy or scenario will affect population health outcomes. These models represent the typically-complex systems that describe how the scenarios affect exposures to risk factors for disease or injury (e.g. air pollution...

This paper estimates a heterogeneous firms trade model using disaggregate data on export values and prices. Prices contain information about differences in product quality across firms and countries that helps identify key mechanisms in the model. Examining within country variation in export...