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We study regression models that involve data sampled at different frequencies. We derive the asymptotic properties of the NLS estimators of such regression models and compare them with the LS estimators of a traditional model that involves aggregating or equally weighting data to estimate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082616
We introduce easy to implement regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions. We also extract a novel small set of daily financial factors from a large panel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011080028
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727704
We introduce easy to implement regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of MIDAS regressions. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily information and provide real-time forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008738778
We introduce easy to implement regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of MIDAS regressions. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily information and provide real-time forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008752922
We introduce easy to implement regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily information and provide real-time forecast updates of the current (nowcasting) and future quarters. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115491
The paper deals with the problem of model uncertainty in forecasting volatility using forecast combinations and a flexible family of asymmetric loss functions that allow for the possibility that an investor would attach different preferences to high vis-a-vis low volatility periods. Using daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010578429
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285596
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810535
Financial time series often undergo periods of structural change that yield biased estimates or forecasts of volatility and thereby risk management measures. We show that in the context of GARCH diffusion models ignoring structural breaks in the leverage coefficient and the constant can lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010578430