This paper provides background information and basic descriptive statistics for a representative survey of the German population conducted on our behalf by GfK in the first quarter of 2013. The survey addresses important topics in fiscal policy, including: 1) public preferences on the...

This paper provides background information and basic descriptive statistics for a representative survey of the German population conducted on our behalf by GfK in the first quarter of 2013. The survey addresses important topics in fiscal policy, including: 1) public preferences on the...

With a novel dataset, we test whether sentiment in TV news can be used as a proxy for consumer sentiment in order to explain changes in private consumption growth in the United States. The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is taken to compare its explanatory power with TV...

We successfully show that it is possible to optimize both for risk and for asset allocation without compromising the optimization of individual goals by introducing the novel concept of a compensation portfolio. Therefore, we solve for the global vs. local optimization paradox by bridging Modern...

We introduce news sentiment as a variable that can explain and predict subsequent changes in the USD/EUR exchange rate, and therefore close a gap in the foreign exchange literature. By applying the concept of frequency filtering from the domain of electrical engineering, we show an innovative...

We show that sentiment from newspaper articles can explain and predict movements in the term structure of US government bonds. This effect is stronger at the short end of the curve, coinciding with greater volatility and investors' need to continually reassess the Fed's reaction function. Facing...