This paper reviews a growing literature investigating how economic agents may learn rational expectations. Fully rational learning requires implausible initial information assumptions, therefore some form of bounded rationality has come into focus. Such learning models often converge to rational...

A quality-adjusted specification of labor is suggested which allows firm training to affect labor efficiency. To assess the cost and productivity effects, this specification is integrated into a flexible neoclassical cost function. The empirical analysis uses panel data for eight plants in the...

In den nächsten Dekaden wird die Bevölkerung nicht nur in Deutschland immer älter. Gibt es einen statistischen Zusammenhang zwischen der Altersstruktur einer Gesellschaft und zentralen makroökonomischen Variablen? Welche Konsequenzen hat die gesellschaftliche Alterung für die...

Leif Johansens short run macro production function is used to explore the conditions for a productivity slowdown to take place simultaneously with an accelerated technical change in production. A capacity distribution such that the supply curve is concave at the extensive margin considerably...

Aging of the population will affect the growth path of all countries. To assess the historical and future importance of this claim we use two popular approaches and evaluate their merits and disadvantages by confronting them to Swedish data. We first simulate an endogenous growth model with...

Economic behavior as well as economic resources of individuals vary with age. Swedish time series show that the age structure of the population contains information correlated to medium-term trends in growth, inflation and other macroeconomic data. GDP gaps estimated by age structure regressions...

Large increases in the financial sector share of GDP in industrialized countries fail to be reflected in higher short-run growth, although a positive long-run relation between financial development and growth is well documented. To reconcile these facts a model of financial development is...

There are obvious reasons why residential construction should depend on the population’s age structure. We estimate this relation on Swedish time series data and OECD panel data. Large groups of young adults are associated with higher rates of residential construction. But there is also a...

In this paper the wealth consequences of the Swedish pension system in the transition from a defined benefit to notional defined contribution system are simulated with almost exact institutional detail, using life cycle profiles estimated from detailed longitudinal micro data. Projected wealth,...

Demographic projections of age structure provide the best information available on long-term future human resources and demand. In current data fairly robust correlations between age structure and GDP and GDP growth have been discovered. In this paper we use these two facts and study the...