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models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our … structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate consumption data, our estimation provides statistical support for asset …-varying volatility are preferred to the long-run risk model. We analyze asset pricing implications of the estimated models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
In this paper we investigate transmission and spillovers of local and foreign economic policy uncertainty shocks to … addition to local effects we find foreign uncertainty shocks influence the Euro area but not the US unemployment. Moreover we … document weaker spillovers of both local and foreign uncertainty shocks in the more volatile times. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437769
model uncertainty or imprecision in a probabilistic framework. We discuss imprecise versions of stochastic processes with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135809
This study examined how uncertainty and global risk affect financial markets in emerging economies, focusing on foreign … structural vector autoregression (VAR) models, the research found that increases in Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU … spreads influence exchange rates, causing currency depreciation. The findings highlight the interconnectedness of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015338312
The effects of sentiment should be strongest during times of heightened valuation uncertainty. As such, we document a … significant amplifying role for market uncertainty in the relation between sentiment and aggregate investment. A one …-standard-deviation increase in uncertainty more than doubles the effect of sentiment on investment. Moreover, allowing uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350126
(ii) deliver a significantly improved match between ex ante and ex post forecast uncertainty. According to our estimates …, uncertainty about inflation, output growth and unemployment in the U.S. and the Euro area is higher after correcting for the … survey‐based average uncertainty during the years since the financial and sovereign debt crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382059
We investigate whether the United States economy responds negatively to oil price uncertainty and whether oil price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896506
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431618
We propose a new measure of underlying inflation that informs, in real time, about asymmetric risks on the outlook of inflationary pressures. The asymmetries are generated through nonlinearities induced by economic activity. The new indicator is based on a multivariate regime-switching framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380740
Among many risk assessment techniques, qualitative, semi-quantitative or quantitative, risk matrix is a common tool to … assess risk by allocating frequency and consequence of an accident to one of the pre divided frequency and consequence … categories. However, since there is no standardized way to define these categories, risk matrix with its strength of being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014370611