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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288366
This paper examines the hypothesis that both stock returns and volatility are asymmetric functions of past information derived from domestic and U.S. stock-market news. The results show the presence of negative autocorrelation, which is consistent with the dominance of positive-feedback trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004440
In this paper, we study the extreme dependence between the markets in Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Taiwan and Singapore. The tail dependence coefficient (TDC), which measures how likely financial returns move together in extreme market conditions, is modeled dynamically using the Multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152576
This paper investigates inference and volatility forecasting using a Markov switching heteroscedastic model with a fat-tailed error distribution to analyze asymmetric effects on both the conditional mean and conditional volatility of financial time series. The motivation for extending the Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159442
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Crude oil draws attention in recent research as its demand may indicate world economic growth trend in the post-COVID-19 era. In this paper, we study the dynamic lead-lag relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and crude oil future prices. We perform rolling-sample tests to evidence whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273581
In this paper, the vector autoregressive model is fitted to find out the causal relationship among realized volatility, the number of transactions and volume with the intraday time intervals of 10, 20 and 30 minutes. To understand the impact of shock to the market on specific variables, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138330
Despite the growing interest in realized stochastic volatility models, their estimation techniques, such as simulated maximum likelihood (SML), are computationally intensive. Based on the realized volatility equation, this study demonstrates that, in a finite sample, the quasi-maximum likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014425668
A new class of stochastic covariance models based on Wishart distribution is proposed. Three categories of dynamic correlation models are introduced depending on how the time-varying covariance matrix is formulated and whether or not it is a latent variable. A stochastic covariance filter is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138391