In this paper, we consider a discrete-time ruin model where experience rating is taken into account. The main objective is to determine the behavior of the ultimate ruin probabilities for large initial capital in the case of light-tailed claim amounts. The logarithmic asymptotic behavior of the...

This paper studies a new risk measure derived from the expected area in red introduced in Loisel (2005). Specifically, we derive various properties of a risk measure defined as the smallest initial capital needed to ensure that the expected time-integrated negative part of the risk process on a...

This paper studies a new risk measure derived from the expected area in red introduced in Loisel (2005). Specifically, we derive various properties of a risk measure defined as the smallest initial capital needed to ensure that the expected time-integrated negative part of the risk process on a...

This paper proposes a practical way for ex-post indexing of level premiums in lifelong medical insurance contracts, in order to take into account observed medical inflation. We show that ex-post indexing can be achieved by considering only premiums, without explicit reference to reserves. This...

We study a new risk measure inspired from risk theory with a heat wave risk analysis motivation. We show that this risk measure and its sensitivities can be computed in practice for relevant temperature stochastic processes. This is in particular useful for measuring the potential impact of...

Predicting the evolution of mortality rates plays a central role for life insurance and pension funds. Standard single population models typically suffer from two major drawbacks: on the one hand, they use a large number of parameters compared to the sample size and, on the other hand, model...

We show that a simple mixing idea allows to establish a number of explicit formulas for ruin probabilities and related quantities in collective risk models with dependence among claim sizes and among claim inter-occurrence times. Examples include compound Poisson risk models with completely...

In a multi-dimensional risk model with dependent lines of business, we propose to allocate capital with respect to the minimization of some risk indicators. These indicators are sums of expected penalties due to the insolvency of a branch while the global reserve is either positive or negative....

In this paper, we introduce a new structured financial product: the so-called Life Nominal Chooser Swaption (LNCS). Thanks to such a contract, insurers could keep pure longevity risk and transfer a great part of interest rate risk underlying annuity portfolios to financial markets. Before the...

In this paper, we propose some characteristics of next-year impairments in a generic Black & Scholes framework, with one equity security, and under IFRS rules. We derive expression for the probability of impairment event for an equity-security recognized in the available-for-sale (AFS) category....