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may be useful for forecasting demand and supply activities. Analyzing the dynamic relationships within a Vector Auto …
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to rents, we find strong evidence that price-rent ratios and lagged changes in house prices forecast changes in rents … in house prices are used to forecast house prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404208
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the real-estate markets. The forecast accuracy of different predictors is … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
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predict the dynamics of home rents and prices in the nearest future. In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 … the forecasts, given the local nature of real-estate markets. The forecast accuracy of different predictors is tested in a … framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears to dominate all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505867
The housing market is complex, multidimensional and depends on the variability of external factors and the amount of information available to the agents involved in the process. Despite the challenges associated to this theme, its relevance in the socioeconomic and territorial context, sustains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506409
This article provides the in-sample estimation and evaluates the out-of-sample conditional mean and volatility forecast …-sample estimation but poorly in the out-of-sample forecast. For the post-crisis out-of-sample forecasts, all models naturally performed … poorly in conditional mean and volatility forecast …
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