Showing 1 - 10 of 57
We propose bootstrap implementations of the asymptotic Wald, likelihood ratio and Lagrange multiplier tests for the order of integration of a fractionally integrated time series. Our main purpose in doing so is to develop tests which are robust to both conditional and unconditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743847
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013439314
In this paper we develop a simple procedure which delivers tests for the pres-ence of a broken trend in a univariate time series which do not require knowledgeof the form of serial correlation in the data and are robust as to whether theshocks are generated by an I(0) or an I(1) process. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868622
It is well established that the shocks driving many key macro-economic and financial variables display time-varying volatility. In this paper we consider estimation and hypothesis testing on the coefficients of the co-integrating relations and the adjustment coefficients in vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328330
In a recent paper Hualde and Robinson (2011) establish consistency and asymptotic normality for conditional sum-of-squares estimators, which are equivalent to conditional quasi-maximum likelihood estimators, in parametric fractional time series models driven by conditionally homoskedastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380815
In this paper we investigate bootstrap-based methods for bias-correcting the first-stage parameter estimates used in some recently developed bootstrap implementations of the co-integration rank tests of Johansen (1996). In order to do so we adapt the framework of Kilian (1998) which estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441830
In a recent paper Hualde and Robinson (2011) establish consistency and asymptotic normality for conditional sum-of-squares estimators, which are equivalent to conditional quasi-maximum likelihood estimators, in parametric fractional time series models driven by conditionally homoskedastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147855
Determining the co-integrating rank of a system of variables has become a fundamental aspect of applied research in macroeconomics and finance. It is wellknown that standard asymptotic likelihood ratio tests for co-integration rank of Johansen (1996) can be unreliable in small samples with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005088281
Many key macro-economic and ?nancial variables are characterised by permanent changes in unconditional volatility. In this paper we analyse vector autoregressions with non-stationary (unconditional) volatility of a very general form, which includes single and multiple volatility breaks as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005749701
In two recent papers Enders and Lee (2008) and Becker et al. (2006) provide Lagrange multiplier and OLS de-trended unit root tests, and stationarity tests, respectively, which incorporate a Fourier approximation element in the deterministic component. Such an approach can prove useful in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524115