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of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050287
of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458350
sufficient fiscal buffers during normal and good times. It has also reaffirmed the need for a thorough debt sustainability … narrative shock scenarios; (ii) a stochastic DSA, providing for a probabilistic approach to debt sustainability; and (iii) other … summarised in a heat map, which can provide guidance on the overall assessment of risks to debt sustainability. This method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011634439
There is a growing empirical literature studying whether fiscal rules reduce borrowing costs. Nevertheless, it remains an open question whether these rules are effective genuinely or just because they mirror fiscal preferences of politicians and voters. In our analysis of European bond spreads,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336738
supranational monetary union. Finally, I develop policy recommendations for the ongoing debate in the Eurozone. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499402
After the outbreak of the global financial crisis, some governments in the EU experienced serious fiscal problems, while others were less affected. This paper seeks to shed light on the divergent fiscal performance in the EU countries before and after the outbreak of the crisis. Fiscal reaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011666901
All explorations of the future of the Euro show serious risks for its survival in the present form. The road map of the Five EU Presidents presented in 2015 is far from sufficient to reduce the risks of the Euro zone falling apart by Brexit type developments or new economic shocks. The EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582732
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856496
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015073231
This article narrates Ireland’s recent odyssey from the pride and envy of Europe to kneeling supplicant through the eyes of an econometric model of the government bond market. The exercise suggests that, in essence, two developments triggered and propelled Ireland’s drift towards sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228470