We adjust the dividend-price ratio for share repurchases and investigate whether predictive power can be improved when constructing forecasts of UK and French equity premia. Regulations in the two largest European stock markets allow us to employ actual repurchase data in our predictive...

Recent theoretical work suggests that signs of asset returns are predictable given that their volatilities are. This is the first paper to investigate whether the demand for information, approximated by the daily internet search volume index (SVI) from Google, can enhance volatility forecasts...

We investigate the relationship between insider trading and stock returns in firms with concentrated ownership. To this end, we employ data from East Asian countries which span the period 2003:01-2012:05. Consistent with previous literature, we find a significantly negative relation between the...

This paper evaluates the ability of dividend ratios to predict the equity premium. We conduct an in and out-of-sample comparative study and apply the Goyal and Welch (2003) graphical method to equity premia derived from the UK FTSE All-Share and the S&P 500 indices. Preliminary in-sample...

This paper evaluates the ability of dividend ratios to predict the equity premium. We conduct an out-of-sample comparative study and apply the Goyal and Welch (2003) methodology to equity premia derived from the UK FTSE All-Share and the Samp;P 500 indices. Preliminary in-sample univariate...

Open market buybacks are not firm commitments and there is limited evidence on whether firms repurchase the intended shares. We employ a comprehensive set of hand-collected data on information disclosure on open market share buyback announcements and the respective buyback trades in UK. We...

In this research paper we employ a logit model methodology in order to identify the determinants of a firm's decision to announce a share repurchase. In the models, we incorporate firm specific financial characteristics and measures of share price performance. Hence, we are able to estimate the...

The papers included in this issue are selected from the 7th International Conference of the Financial Engineering and Banking Society (FEBS) organized by Strathclyde Business School during 1-3 June 2017. With circa 200 academics, practitioners and regulators participating as delegates from...

This study presents the first attempt to develop classification models for the prediction of share repurchases using multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) methods. The MCDA models are developed using two methods namely UTilités Additives DIScriminantes (UTADIS) and ELimination and Choice Expressing...

We examine the impact of aggregate insider trading on market returns in the UK. We find that, on aggregate, insiders are contrarians, but their trades are not informative, contrary to previous US evidence. We suggest that this discrepancy is related to the regulatory setting in the UK where...