Similar to other Central Banks, the BCRA publishes monthly a REM that summaries the forecasts and projections of a group of economic analysts and consultants who volunteer to participate in the program. The BCRA publishes only the median, and the standard deviation of the sample received. The...

The analysis of the output gap dynamics (the difference between the observed and the non-inflationary potential output) is a widely used tool for structural models employed by central banks. In such models, the output gap is a key variable to explain the dynamics of prices and wages. However,...

We use a variation on the business cycle accounting method of Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (CKM) to study the business cycle in Argentina from 1972 to 2006. The method uses real data together with the equilibrium conditions of a prototype growth model to measure four wedges that are explained by...

We use a variation on the business cycle accounting method of Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan to study the business cycle in Argentina from 1972 to 2006. We use capital utilization as a household decision variable to be able to better extract the wedge that functions as a tax on capital. Applying the...

Most models of monetary policy specify a single rule (frequently a Taylor rule) for setting a policy interest rate based on monetary aggregates. Here I consider an economy where the government has two channels for injecting or withdrawing money from the economy: a policy of monetary transfers to...

Monetary policy implementation in a federal country requires both vertical (national and subnational governments) and horizontal (between subnational jurisdictions) institutional coordination. The optimal centralized monetary policy is blind and potentially nonheterogeneous at the subnational...

We use monthly panel data information on Argentine banks to try to explain the variation in deposits during the 2001 crisis. The variables used are related to the solvency condition of the bank, whether it is public or private, interest rates for each bank and macroeconomic variables referred to...