This paper constructs factor-based fundamental exchange rates with independent component factors and then re-examines the superiority of factor models in out-predicting nominal exchange rates. By applying the panel data of 17 OECD countries over the period 1973-2011, this article finds that both...

This paper develops a dependence-switching copula model to examine dependence and tail dependence for four different market statuses, namely, rising-stocks/appreciating-currency, falling-stocks/depreciating-currency, rising-stocks/depreciating-currency, and falling-stocks/appreciating-currency....

We apply a dependence-switching copula model to study major industrial countries' asymmetric risk spillovers between stock and currency markets. We construct conditional value-at-risk under different market statuses and build upside and downside expected conditional value-at-risk for the stock...

Kaufkraftparität und die irische Erfahrung: Einheitswurzel- und Kointegrationstests bei zwei Industrieländern In diesem Beitrag werden Einheitswurzel-/stationäre Prozeß- und Kointegrationstests für die Prüfung der Kaufkraftparität Irlands im Vergleich mit zwei Industrieländern verwendet....

Long half-lives of real exchange rates are often used as evidence against monetary sticky price models. In this study we show how exchange rate regimes alter the long-run dynamics and half-life of the real exchange rate, and we recast the classic defense of such models by Mussa (1986) from an...

We use a residual-based cointegration test suggested by Gregory and Hansen (1992) that allows for the determination of a structural break in the cointegrating vector to test for the sustainability of Greek fiscal deficits over the 1958-1992 period. This relatively recent test leads to a...

We use a new test for cointegration that allows for structural breaks in the cointegrating relationship to test for bilateral interest rate convergence in the European Monetary System. Contrary to previous studies that employed standard cointegration tests, we find strong evidence for...

This paper tests for the long-run and short-run relationship between prices and wages in the Irish economy over the 1975-1992 period. Using recent econometric techniques in the analysis of time series, we conclude that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between prices, wages and an...

We use cointegration tests that determine endogenously the regime shift to test for bilateral short-term and long-term real interest rate convergence in the European Monetary System in the 1979--1993 period. The results of these tests provide strong evidence in favour of bilateral real interest...

We use recently developed cointegration tests that determine endogenously the regime shift to test for bilateral real interest rate convergence (real interest rate parity) in the G7 against the US in the 1974-1995 period. In contrast with previous studies that employed classical regression...