This paper analyzes the effects of a change in a small but time-varying “disaster risk” à la Gourio (2012) in a New Keynesian model. In a real business cycle framework, the disaster risk has been successful in replicating observed moments of equity premia. However, responses of...

On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...

This paper analyzes the business cycle behavior of the corporate debt structure and its interaction with economic recovery. The debt structure is measured as the share of bonds in the total credit to non-financial corporations for a quarterly panel of twenty five economies over the period...

La crise récente a souligné la nécessité de mieux comprendre les liens entre les marchés financiers et les cycles économiques. Cette Lettre présente les résultats d’une recherche sur le rôle de la composition de la dette des entreprises. L’étude de 93 épisodes de récession dans...

Lorsque Shinzo Abe se lance dans la campagne des législatives à l’automne 2012, le PIB vient d’enregistrer deux trimestres consécutifs de recul, l’investissement des entreprises se contracte dans un contexte de demande intérieure et extérieure peu dynamique, la lente érosion des prix...

This paper evaluates the impact of all ECB unconventional monetary policies implemented between 2007 and 2012 on bank and government borrowing costs. We employ event-based regressions to measure the effect of each policy. The borrowing conditions for banks are represented by money market spreads...

This paper evaluates the impact of unconventional and conventional monetary policies in the U.S. on the Libor-OIS spread, long-term interest rates and long-term inflation expectations. To this purpose we investigate the behavior of selected asset yields on the days of monetary policy...