This paper investigates the different effects of political connections on the firm performance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and privately owned enterprises. Using data on Chinese listed firms from 1999 to 2007, we find that private firms with politically connected managers outperform those...

A new method which is based on the Hill plot is proposed to determine an appropriate threshold in the POT (Peaks Over Threshold) model. Different from the traditional Hill plot method, the proposed method can determine the threshold by quantification, and is easy to be implemented by a computer...

There is increasing attention on information transfers along supply chain partners for firm (extreme) events. This growing literature finds spillover effects following certain types of firm events. Using data from credit rating actions of Chinese-listed firms over the period between March 2007...

This article investigates out-of-sample performance of the naïve hedging strategy relative to that of the minimum variance hedging strategy, in which the covariance parameters are estimated from eighteen econometric models. Hedging performance is compared across twenty-four futures markets. Our...

Using data from the Chinese A-share market in 2004-2012, this paper shows how cognitive bias of individual analysts lead to counter-productive effect in less-developed financial markets. We form an ex-ante measure of analysts' expectation error, a measure suitable for markets with short history....

In this paper, we study if the risk associated with innovations in economic policy uncertainty (EPU), that is, EPU risk, is priced in the cross section of hedge fund returns. Based on decile portfolios sorted on the EPU beta, we show that EPU risk commands a significantly negative premium of...

This paper investigates the implications of model uncertainty for the equity premium in a stochastic volatility model. We consider a general equilibrium setting with one representative agent who has a stochastic differential utility. The results show that the equilibrium equity premium consists...

Research has found that political connectedness can have both positive and negative effects on firm value. To resolve these mixed findings, we investigate the impact of political ties conditional on ownership for a sample of Chinese firms over the period 1999 to 2006. We find that private firms...

Forecasting oil prices has been of great interests for macroeconomists in the recent years. Our article contributes to this strand of the literature by using a dynamic model averaging (DMA) method to improve forecasting accuracy of real oil prices. The advantage of DMA is that the method...

The Public Institution Reform of China in 2011 effectively downsized public institutions, which is an important component of the public sector. Using this reform as a quasi-natural experiment, this paper studies the impact of public sector downsizing on private firm profits.With the instrument...