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In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a mixture model when the number of components in the mixture is larger than the true number of components, a situation commonly referred to as overfitted mixture. We prove in particular that quite generally the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707906
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Research on Bayesian nonparametric methods has received a growing interest for the past twenty years, especially since the development of powerful simulation algorithms which makes the implementation of complex Bayesian methods possible. From that point it is necessary to understand from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093904
Empirical Bayes procedures are commonly used based on the supposed asymptotic equivalence with fully Bayesian procedures, which, however, has not so far received full theoretical support in terms of uncertainty quantification. In this note, we provide some results on contraction rates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781519
Although there have been a lot of developpements in the recent years on estimation in Bayesian nonparametric models, from a theoretical point view as well as from a methodological point of view, little has been done on Bayesian testing in nonparametric frameworks. In this talk I will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781521
The original Studentization was the conversion of a sample mean departure into the familiar t-statistic, plus the derivation of the corresponding Student distribution function; the observed value of the distribution function is the observed p-value, as presented in an elemental form. We examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905315
In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic properties of nonparametric Bayesian mixtures of Betas for estimating a smooth density on [0, 1]. We consider a parametrization of Beta distributions in terms of mean and scale parameters and construct a mixture of these Betas in the mean parameter,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073964
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This research assesses the potential impact of weekly weather variability on the incidence of cryptosporidiosis disease using time series zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) and classification and regression tree (CART) models. Data on weather variables, notified cryptosporidiosis cases and population...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483517
We formalise and present an innovative general approach for developing complex system models from survey data by applying Bayesian Networks. The challenges and approaches to converting survey data into usable probability forms are explained and a general approach for integrating expert knowledge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931207