e develop a model of regime-switching risk premia as well as regimedependent factor risk premia to price real options. The model incorporates the observation that the underlying risky income streams of real options are subject to discrete shifts over time as well as random changes. The presence...

We examine several discrete-time term-structure models, in which the short rate is subject to discrete shifts. Our empirical analysis suggests that inquiring which parameters of the short-term interest rate equation are allowed to switch is crucial. Failing to do so may result in switching...

We examine several continuous-time term structure models in which the short rate is subject both to continuous changes and to discrete shifts. Several regime-switching term structure models are developed, with regime-dependence in various combinations of their drift and diffusion parameters. We...

We examine several continuous-time term structure models in which the short rate is subject both to continuous changes and to discrete shifts. Several regime-switching term structure models are developed, with regime-dependence in various combinations of their drift and diffusion parameters. We...

We develop and estimate a consumption-based asset pricing model that assumes recursive utility using historical US financial data, allowing for regime changes, priced regime risk, and intrinsic bubbles. We also estimate several restricted versions which include only a subset of these features....

With lessons learned from previous episodes as well as substantial improvements in economic policies and fundamentals over the years emerging market economies (EMEs) on average are better positioned to withstand financial turbulences, both now and in the near future, than in the past. Since...

We develop a systemic risk indicator approach using a structural GARCH option-based default risk framework incorporating volatility clustering, variance risk premiums, along with distanceto-capital features. We apply our model to the U.S. banking sector, testing its explanatory and forecasting...

Pension systems in different countries vary widely in such aspects as the dependence of benefits on earlier labour income, the minimum permitted retirement age and limits on labour supply after retirement. This paper uses a simulation model of a rational, utility-maximising household facing the...