The average of periodic growth rates is a downwardly biased estimator of the rate of growth of a country. The higher the variance of the periodical growth rates, the higher the downward bias. The longer the business cycle, the higher the downward bias. In this short paper, we demonstrate these...

The aim of this paper is to point out an inconsistency between the way income tax progressivity is measured and the policy instruments used by the income tax authorities. This inconsistency leads to violation of Feldstein's principle of horizontal equity and causes unintentional reranking among...

We consider decision-making under risk in which random events affect the value of the portfolio multiplicatively, rather than additively. In this case, a higher variability in the rate of return not only is associated with a higher risk, a bad property, but also engenders a higher expected...

This paper makes a new attack on the old problem of measuring horizontal inequity in the income tax. Local measures of inequality of posttax income among pretax equals are proposed, which reflect alternative value judgments about the nature and magnitude of an inequity. These measures are...

This paper points out the similarities and differences between cost-benefit analysis and tax reform. By restricting the analysis to the margin it is shown that both areas can be handled by the same method. In both areas, there is a need to define social distributional weights and to evaluate the...

Large Language Models (LLMs) can dramatically improve upon traditional text-based measurement tools used by economists. We fit, test and train the "Work-from-Home Algorithmic Measure" (WHAM) model to detect new online job postings offering remote/hybrid arrangements. The WHAM model has...

Some analysts use sequential dominance criteria, and others use equivalence scales in combination with non-sequential dominance tests, to make welfare comparisons of joint distributions of income and needs. In this paper we present a new sequential procedure which copes with situations in which...

Some analysts use sequential dominance criteria, and others use equivalence scales in combination with non-sequential dominance tests, to make welfare comparisons of joint distributions of income and needs. In this paper we present a new sequential procedure which copes with situations in which...

This paper leverages generative AI to build a network structure over 5,000 product nodes, where directed edges represent input-output relationships in production. We layout a two-step 'build-prune' approach using an ensemble of prompt-tuned generative AI classifications. The 'build' step...