Imbalances in supply and demand often cause the price for the same good to vary across geographic locations. Economic theory suggests that if the price differential is greater than the cost of transporting the good between locations, then buyers will shift demand from high-price locations to...

We examine the dynamic forecasting behavior of security analysts in response to their prior performance relative to their peers within a continuous time/multi-period framework. Our model predicts a U-shaped relationship between the boldness of an analyst's forecast, that is, the deviation of her...

We study the price impact of daily institutional herding induced by information events. Using analyst recommendation changes as a proxy, we find that institutional herding on recommendation changes is short–lived. Daily institutional herding, on average, destabilizes price. However, herding...

This study examines whether the “soft” information present in merger and acquisition announcement press releases contains incrementally valuable news relative to traditional “hard” data and analyst generated information. We use Diction, a textual-analysis program, to construct measures...

Between 2009 and 2013, Theflyonthewall.com (FLY) leaks 58% of recommendation revisions with a median delay of 27 minutes relative to the I/B/E/S announcement time. We show FLY improves price discovery, but leaked recommendations hamper the ability of brokers to offer price improvement on trades...

This paper provides evidence on managerial motives for raising equity by examining long-run performance and insider trading around canceled and completed seasoned equity offerings (SEOs). Insider selling increases prior to completed and canceled SEOs, but declines afterward only for canceled...

Despite the central role of arbitrage in finance and economic theory, there is limited evidence of the factors that create and eliminate arbitrage opportunities, how often arbitrage occurs, and how profitable it is. We address these gaps via a transaction-level analysis of spatial arbitrage in...

Does fake news in financial markets attract more investor attention and have a significant impact on stock prices? We use the SEC crackdown of stock promotion schemes in April 2017 to examine investor attention and the stock price reaction to fake news articles. Using data from Seeking Alpha, we...

We modify Morris and Shin (2002) to develop a structural model of analyst earnings forecasts. The model allows for analysts to herd due to informational effects and non-informational incentives. The benefits of our model are twofold: (1) we can decompose earnings forecasts into informational and...

This paper examines the impact of investment banker job changes on the Mamp;A and equity market shares of investment banks. Using a unique sample of job changes between 1998 and 2004, we find, on average, that the bank losing the banker experiences a negative and significant decrease in its...