The statistic introduced in Fortiana and Grané (2003) is modified so that it can be used to test the goodness-of-fit of a censored sample, when the distribution function is fully specified. Exact and asymptotic distributions of three modified versions of this statistic are obtained and exact...

This paper presents a behavioral finance model of the exchange rate. Agents forecast theexchange rate by means of very simple rules. They can choose between three groups offorecasting rules: fundamentalist, extrapolative and momentum rules. Agents using afundamentalist rule are not able to...

In der Literatur werden zahlreiche Versuche unternommen, das Investitionsverhalten von Unternehmen durch die Anwendung ökonometrischer Modelle zu verstehen. Die Spezifikation dieser Modelle stützt sich in der jüngeren Vergangenheit auf zwei Theoriebereiche. Zum einen ist dies die neue...

The Polish tax and benefit system is presented in the context of a recently developedmicrosimulation model, SIMPL. The model allows simulating direct taxes, social contributionsand public benefits in Poland for the years 2003 and 2005...>br>

The serial dependency of multivariate nancial data will often be ltered by con-sidering the residuals of univariate GARCH models adapted to every single series.This is the correct ltering strategy if the multivariate process follows a so-calledcopula based multivariate dynamic model (CMD). These...

We introduce a generalized theoretical approach to study imitation andsubject it to rigorous experimental testing. In our theoretical analysiswe …nd that the different predictions of previous imitation models aredue to different informational assumptions, not to different behavioralrules. It is...

The deliverable reports the performance assessment of the Catallactic approach. Itdepends on the work done and results achieved in the other workpackages, particularlyWP2, the simulator and scenario generator development, and WP3, the prototypedevelopment....