Showing 1 - 10 of 2,538
This paper investigates the relationship between trading volume and price volatility in the crude oil and natural gas futures markets when using high-frequency data. By regressing various realized volatility measures (with/without jumps) on trading volume and trading frequency, our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072230
To improve risk management in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), the European Climate Exchange (ECX) has introduced option instruments in October 2006 after regulatory authorization. The central question we address is: can we identify a potential destabilizing effect of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707372
As both speculative and hedging financial flows into commodity futures are expected to link commodity price formation more strongly to equity indices, we investigate whether these processes also create increased correlation amongst the commodities themselves. Considering U.S. oil and gas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707996
This article documents the conditional and unconditional distributions of the realized volatility for the 2008 futures contract in the European climate exchange (ECX), which is valid under the EU emissions trading scheme (EU ETS). Realized volatility measures from naive, kernel-based and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708614
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708762
The estimation of the jump component in asset pricing has witnessed a considerably growing body of literature. Of particular interest is the decomposition of total volatility between its continuous and jump components. Recent contributions highlight the importance of the jump component in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009189918
Forecasting the density of returns is useful for many purposes in finance, such as risk manage- ment activities, portfolio choice or derivative security pricing. Existing methods to forecast the den- sity of returns either use prices of the asset of interest or option prices on this same asset....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930520
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010432122
Recent contributions highlight the importance of intraday jumps in forecasting realized volatility at horizons up to one month. We extend the methodology developed in Maheu and McCurdy (2011) to exploit the information content of intraday data in forecasting the density of returns. Considering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902447
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328680