We analyze the impact that transaction costs have on asset mispricing in state-contingent claims markets. In particular, we examine betting markets, in which, it has been argued, transaction costs cause the favorite-longshot bias, a pricing anomaly analogous to the volatility smile in options...

This study is the first to combine returns based (RBS) and characteristics based (CBS) style analysis into a single style analysis model. We address the issue of whether RBS and CBS style analysis complementary. Out of sample tests confirmed two things; membership of style groups explain a...

In this study we consider two methods of returns based style analysis for classification of investment styles for a single asset class, US Diversified Equity Funds. We extend Sharpe's (1992) style Returns Based Style Analysis (RBSA) by forming style groups using cluster analysis and RBSA...

Bitcoin has received much investor attention in recent years, however, there remains a lot of scepticism and lack of understanding of this cryptocurrency. We contribute to the growing literature of Bitcoin by examining the intraday variables of the leading Bitcoin exchange with the highest...

We introduce a new methodology for forecasting which we call Signal Diffusion Mapping. Our approach accommodates features of real world financial data which have been ignored historically in existing forecasting methodologies. Our method builds upon well-established and accepted methods from...

The role of traditional or social media-expressed tone on stock prices is nuanced. Negative tone of traditional media articles is much more likely to convey material information than web messages. Some topics, regardless of source, are unusually negative, causing fluctuations in investor...

This paper analytically solves the portfolio optimization problem of an investor faced with a risky arbitrage opportunity (e.g. relative mispricing in equity pairs). Unlike the extant literature, which typically models mispricings through the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, we introduce a...

This is the first paper to consider pairs trading as a mechanism by which the Law of One Price is enforced between stocks and American Depository Receipts (ADRs). Using intraday contemporaneous data spanning 2007-2009, pairs trading between UK stocks and ADRs yields 5% annually net of costs,...

Finding what causes pricing anomalies is an important step towards improving market efficiency. The favourite-longshot bias is one of the longest-standing pricing anomalies in state-contingent claims markets. However, existing models are unable to capture its full complexity. We develop a...

This paper explores the use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic by decision makers in a financial market; in particular, the degree to which horserace bettors anchor their probability judgments on the advantage afforded by a horse's barrier-position. The results suggest that under certain...