A real option on a commodity is valued using an implied binomial tree (IBT) calibrated using commodity futures options prices. Estimating an IBT in the absence of spot options (the norm for commodities) allows real option models to be calibrated for the first time to market-implied probability...

We show how to implement a Rubinstein (1994) implied binomial tree using an Excel spreadsheet, but without having to use visual basic in Excel (VBA). We demonstrate both the optimization needed to generate implied ending risk-neutral probabilities from a set of actual option prices and the...

For the first time, a framework is introduced that allows for a real options analysis to be performed in an EVA/MVA-embedded binomial tree. This framework enhances traditional EVA/MVA analysis so that it can capture the additional value generated through strategic decision making during a...

An increase in the cost of short selling should increase the bearish information content of short interest announcements by driving relatively uninformed short sellers out of the market (Diamond and Verrecchia, 1987). We extend the Diamond and Verrecchia model to include short selling against...

Which journal articles have had the most impact on finance research? Which articles were most cited in each of the last 30 years? Which journals dominated finance research in the 1990s? Did any finance sub-discipline stand out or lag behind in the 1990s? We answer these and similar questions...

A real option on a commodity is valued using an implied binomial tree (IBT) calibrated using commodity futures options prices. Estimating an IBT in the absence of spot options (the norm for commodities) allows real option models to be calibrated for the first time to market‐implied probability...

Arnold, Crack and Schwartz (ACS) (2010) generalize the Rubinstein (1994) risk-neutral implied binomial tree (R-IBT) model by introducing a risk premium. Their new risk-averse implied binomial tree model (RA-IBT) has both probabilistic and pricing applications. They use the RA-IBT model to...

Financial statements and an accompanying NPV calculation are embedded into a binomial tree. This generalization of traditional static NPV analysis allows the financial statements to both evolve through time and, at any given time, to vary with states of the world (similar to a Monte Carlo...

We value a real option (a lease) using an implied binomial tree (IBT). IBTs use information embedded in the prices of traded options to calibrate a pricing tree for valuing other options on the same underlying asset. By doing so, IBTs capture excess skewness and kurtosis in the underlying asset...