We extend Jurado et al. (2015)'s forecast-error-based uncertainty measure to the international context, and construct a new measure of global uncertainty. We examine dynamic causal effects among global uncertainty and other global macroeconomic variables, and provide two important applications...

Achieving the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires an overall and well-balanced achievement of all SDGs rather than cherry-picking a few. While assessing the evenness of SDGs achievement is extremely important, such analysis devoted to measure the evenness,...

This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country affects other countries' GDP. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects as a shock is transmitted through output fluctuations and introduces a new specification strategy that reduces the number of...

This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output fluctuations. The paper introduces a new specification...

This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output fluctuations. The paper introduces a new specification...

The significant achievements in economic growth and urbanization in China have led to substantial increases of and great inequality in household carbon footprints (HCFs) recently. To achieve efficiency and justice in emissions reduction, policymakers need to fully understand the sources of HCFs...

We extend Jurado et al. (2015)’s forecast-error-based uncertainty measure to the international context, and construct a new measure of global uncertainty. We examine dynamic causal effects among global uncertainty and other global macroeconomic variables, and provide two important applications...

This research presents a new metric known as "AI Augmentation," aimed at quantifying the influence of generative AI across diverse job roles, organizations, and sectors. The analysis defies prevailing expectations of job losses due to AI, instead demonstrating a reverse correlation between AI...