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We propose a structural model for durations between events and (a vector of) associated marks, using a multivariate Brownian motion. Successive passage times of one latent Brownian component relative to random boundaries define durations. The other, correlated, Brownian components generate the...
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Risk-neutral traders executing derivative trades on behalf of portfolio managers maximize their expected profit compared to trading at pre-determined times by timing trades, using the quickly changing risk exposures of derivative baskets. The optimal order submission strategy is a sequence of...
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We derive nonparametric bounds for inference about functionals of high-frequency volatility, in particular, integrated power variance. In the absence of microstructure noise, we find that standard Realized Variance attains the nonparametric efficiency bound, also in case of unequally spaced...
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We provide a structural approach to disentangle Granger versus instantaneous causality effects from transaction durations to price volatility. So far, in the literature, instantaneous causality effects have either been excluded or cannot be identified separately from Granger type causality...
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Stock and options markets can disagree about a stock's value because of informed trading in options and/or price pressure in the stock. The predictability of stock returns based on this cross- market discrepancy in values is especially strong when accompanied by stock price pressure, and it does...
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