Showing 1 - 10 of 54
Most studies of the effect of monetary policy on asset prices use the event study methodology with daily data. The resulting estimates suffer from bias due to omitted variables and endogeneity of policy decisions. We provide evidence that this bias becomes so large during the 2007-2008 financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996498
This paper examines the information content of firm-specific sentiment extracted from Twitter messages. We find that Twitter sentiment predicts stock returns without subsequent reversals. This finding is consistent with the view that tweets provide information not already reflected in stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851964
This paper examines the intraday changes of gold and crude oil implied volatility around the release of FOMC statements. We find that monetary policy releases lead to intraday uncertainty resolution in these commodity markets. The resolution of uncertainty is stronger after announcements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350925
We document that institutional herding behavior is associated with analyst target price revisions even after controlling for the effects of analyst recommendations and earnings forecasts, and provide insights into the price impact of institutional herding. Institutional investors tend to buy the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404074
This paper investigates the stock market reaction to the tone of central bank communication. We use textual analysis techniques to measure the tonality of the FOMC minutes’ text and show that a more optimistic tonality has a positive impact on stock returns. This positive effect is prevalent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404209
We provide evidence that the release of the unemployment rate announcement unconditionally leads to financial market uncertainty resolution in the stock, treasury, commodity, and foreign currency markets. The finding is economically valuable. A simple daily strategy of selling the 10-year...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292324
This study investigates the lead–lag relationships of volatility among European stock markets. Using weakly realized variance measures, we examine volatility spillover dynamics between the UK and other major stock markets in Europe, thereby identifying a long-run leading role for the UK market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238568
We analyze the impact of vaccine news announcements by leading vaccine companies on the financial and commodity markets from January to December 2020. We show that the vaccine announcements moved stock prices of the leading vaccine companies, stock markets in the U.S. and Europe (but not in Asia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225643
This study examines the effect of oil and gas inventory announcements on energy prices. Previous estimates of this effect suffer from bias due to measurement error in inventory surprises. We utilize intraday futures data for three petroleum commodities and natural gas to estimate the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080984
We examine the effect of scheduled macroeconomic announcements made by China on world financial and commodity futures markets. All announcements related to Chinese manufacturing and industrial output move stock markets, energy and industrial commodities as well as commodity currencies. News...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034903