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-form GARCH-in-mean model assigned to six globally leading financial markets. The obtained results support Keynes's theory - the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424659
In this paper we present a MATLAB simulator designed to estimate the future path of debt and interest payments. The code represents in a compact way the joint dynamics of debt liabilities and interest payments as a function of five elements: the initial outstanding debt, the primary funding, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991596
-rules multiple equilibria between the fiscal theory of the price level versus new-Keynesian versus an unpleasant equilibrium. If …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014104493
We consider a frictionless constant endowment economy based on Leeper (1991). In this economy, it is shown that, under an ad-hoc monetary rule and an ad-hoc fiscal rule, there are two equilibria. One has active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy, while the other has passive monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847979
The interest rate is generally considered as an important driver of macroeconomic investment. As an innovation, this paper derives the exact shape of the "hysteretic" impact of changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863765
We explore the role of evolving beliefs regarding the structure of the macroeconomy in improving our understanding of the term structure of interest rates within the context of a simple macro-finance model. Using quarterly vintages of real-time data and survey forecasts for the United States...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128863
In this paper, I develop a joint affine macro-finance model of the term structures of US Treasury yields and US corporate bond yields to study the interrelation between corporate lending conditions and the macro economy. A model with inflation, industrial production growth and three latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093473
We employ conformal symmetries to provide a generic tractable framework for interest rate modelling. The approach combines calibration flexibility of market models with tractability and computational efficiency of shot rate models. The methodology enables robust calibration to the whole variety...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999730
Giannoni and Woodford (2003) found that the equilibrium determined by commitment to a super-inertial rule (where the sum of the parameters of lags of interest rate exceed ones and does not depend on the auto-correlation of shocks) corresponds to the unique bounded solution of Ramsey optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898486
Most central banks effect changes to their target or policy rate in discrete increments (e.g., multiples of 0.25%) following public announcements on scheduled dates. Still, for most applications, researchers rely on the assumption that the policy rate changes linearly with economic conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728132