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In the Fall of 2011, futures market participants were caught off-guard when MF Global filed for bankruptcy. Essentially, this episode educated industry participants that customer protections in the U.S. commodity futures markets had been more ambiguous than expected. That said, there are a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951308
This article covers the trading blowups at the hedge fund, Amaranth, and at the Futures Commission Merchant, MF Global. Although the lessons from the Amaranth blowup can best be understood in terms of market-risk principles, the lessons from the MF Global bankruptcy are best understood in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953092
Given the generally observed mean-reverting nature of spot commodity prices, it should naturally follow that across time, roll yields (and therefore, backwardation) have to be the dominant explanatory variable for individual futures contract returns over long enough time horizons. In this paper,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019563
Broadly speaking, there are seven strands of literature on commodity pricing theory, which we summarize as follows: The insurance role of commodity futures contracts, which emphasizes the role of the speculator; the theory of storage, which emphasizes the behavior of the inventory holder and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019564
Managed futures strategies are a niche-within-a-niche in the capital markets. Despite this status, managed futures have become of particular interest to hedge fund investors. This paper will discuss why this has become the case by focusing on this strategy's unique diversification properties. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019665
On June 25th, 2007, the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations released a report on the Amaranth debacle, entitled, “Excessive Speculation in the Natural Gas Market.” The report was released in conjunction with the subcommittee's public hearing on the same date. The 135-page...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019668
This paper will argue that long-only investments in the commodity futures markets, specifically those represented by the GSCI, are only advisable under a well-defined circumstance. One needs to use a reliable indicator of scarcity before investing in commodities in order to improve the chances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019670
In this paper, we note how a set of active commodity strategies could potentially add value to an investor's commodity allocation. But we also emphasize the due care that must be taken in both risk management and implementation discipline
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019671
In this paper, we introduce readers to commodity (natural resource) futures programs. We begin by describing the present investment landscape as one where return compression in a number of popular hedge fund strategies has led absolute-return investors to investigate other promising return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020287
In this article, we provide the busy reader with a survey of articles that were written over the past four years on hedge funds. Specifically, we review the economic basis for hedge fund returns and then discuss some of the logical consequences of these observations. Next, we summarize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020336