Under the new Basel III banking regulation banks should include wrong-way risk (WWR) into the calculation of the credit valuation adjustment (CVA) of the OTC derivatives. WWR takes place when the exposure to a counterparty is adversely correlated with the credit quality of that counterparty....

In this contribution we study calibration methods of interest rate models. First, we assume that model parameters are constant and can be estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation or yield curve fitting methods. Next, we suppose that model parameters are random variables with their prior...

The paper analyzes a two-factor credit risk model allowing to capture default and recovery rate variation, their mutual correlation, and dependence on various explanatory variables. At the same time, it allows computing analytically the unexpected credit loss. We propose and empirically...

The paper argues that it would be natural to replace the standard normal distribution function by the logistic function in the regulatory Basel II (Vasicek’s) formula. Such a model would be in fact consistent with the standard logistic regression PD modeling approach. An empirical study based...

Interest rate risk measurement and management of non-maturity deposit balances presents a challenge for practitioners and academic researchers as well. The paper provides a review of several methodological approaches focusing on the area of savings accounts rate sensitivity modeling and...

Non-parametric approach to financial time series jump estimation, using the L-Estimator, is compared with the parametric approach utilizing a Stochastic-Volatility-Jump-Diffusion (SVJD) model, estimated with MCMC and extended with Particle Filters to estimate the out-sample evolution of its...

We are comparing two approaches for stochastic volatility and jumps estimation in the EUR/USD time series - the non-parametric power-variation approach using high-frequency returns, and the parametric Bayesian approach (MCMC estimation of SVJD models) using daily returns. We find that both of...

Methodology is proposed of how to utilize high-frequency power-variation estimators in the Bayesian estimation of Stochastic-Volatility Jump-Diffusion (SVJD) models. Realized variance is used as an additional source of information for the estimation of stochastic variances, while the Z-Estimator...

The aim of this paper is to propose and test a novel PF method called Sequential Gibbs Particle Filter allowing to estimate complex latent state variable models with unknown parameters. The framework is applied to a stochastic volatility model with independent jumps in returns and volatility....

The paper proposes a two-factor model to capture retail portfolio probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) parameters and in particular their mutual correlation. We argue that the standard one-factor models standing behind the Basel II formula and used by a number of studies...