Recent efforts of regulators have helped neutralize analysts' conflict of interest. Analysts tended to make overly optimistic earnings forecasts prior to Regulation FD and the Global Analyst Research Settlement. Regulation FD made analysts less dependent on insider information and, thereby,...

Risk-shifting occurs when creditors or guarantors are exposed to loss without receiving adequate compensation. This project seeks to measure and compare how well authorities in 56 countries controlled bank risk shifting during the 1990s. Although significant risk shifting occurs on average,...

This paper proposes a theoretically based and easy-to-implement way to measure the systemic risk of financial institutions using publicly available accounting and stock market data. The measure models the credit enhancement taxpayers provide to individual banks in the Merton tradition (1974) as...

This paper proposes a theoretically based and easy-to-implement way to measure the systemic risk of financial institutions using publicly available accounting and stock market data. The measure models the credit enhancement taxpayers provide to individual banks in the Merton tradition (1974) as...

We document that firms' financing decisions are affected by historical high prices. The ratio of the monthly high price to the 12-month historical high positively affects the probability of an SEO. Furthermore, the announcement market reaction is muted and the offering discount is smaller if the...

Using a recently developed measure of financial market risk perceptions, we show that market risk perceptions affect firm-level corporate investment and financing. While multiple channels drive these results, we find evidence that firms cater to investors’ preferences. When perceived risk is...

Investment bankers focus on narrow, industry-based peer groups for individual stock valuation. And some market-neutral equity hedge fund managers restrict their portfolios to be sector-neutral as well. Yet, academic research into contrarian strategy investment performance has typically invoked...

Default probability plays a central role in the static tradeoff theory of capital structure. We directly test this theory by regressing the probability of default on proxies for costs and benefits of debt. Contrary to predictions of the theory, firms with higher bankruptcy costs, i.e., smaller...

Probability of default plays a central role in the static tradeoff theory of capital structure. We provide a direct test of this theory by regressing the probability of default, measured by S&P credit ratings and Moody's KMV Expected Default FrequencyTM (EDFTM), on firm characteristics that...