We examine the forecast quality of Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) implied volatility indexes based on the Standard and Poor's 100 and Nasdaq 100 stock indexes. We find that the forecast quality of CBOE implied volatilities for the Samp;P 100 (VIX) has significantly improved in recent...

In this paper, we report the first empirical tests concerning the international investment strategies of a panel of investment houses from 1982 through 1999. The previously untapped data for this study comes from surveys published in the Financial Report, a confidential newsletter purchased by...

We introduce a decomposition showing precisely how actively-managed portfolio returns can be separated into three measurable components that we call Opportunity, Foresight, and Active Management Risk. Opportunity reflects the degree to which the investment opportunity set contains exploitable...

In this paper, we report the first empirical tests concerning the performance of international investment strategies recommended by a panel of investment houses from 1982 through 2001. The data for this study comes from surveys published in the Financial Report, a confidential newsletter...

A central question in finance is how to measure portfolio performance. We assert that foresight (i.e., the ability of managers to forecast relative returns) and commitment (i.e., the aggressiveness with which managers act on their foresight) are necessary ingredients to generate portfolio...

The existence and implications of asymmetric information in financial markets have been the subject of extensive research in the finance literature. Two of the major propositions in this literature are that (1) corporate insiders take advantage of asymmetric information by trading on their...