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This paper comprehensively investigates the role of realized jumps detected from high frequency data in predicting future volatility from both statistical and economic perspectives. Using seven major jump tests, we show that separating jumps from diffusion improves volatility forecasting both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034023
We propose a least squares regression framework for the estimation of the realized covariation matrix using high frequency data. The new estimator is robust to market microstructure noise (MMS) and non-synchronous trading. Comprehensive simulation and empirical analysis show that our estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014161679
We empirically investigate the role of prospect theory in the foreign exchange market. Using the historical distribution of exchange rate changes, we construct a currency-level measure of prospect theory value and find that it negatively forecasts future currency excess returns. High prospect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830960
This paper provides a guide to high frequency option trade and quote data disseminated by theOptions Price Reporting Authority (OPRA). We present a comprehensive overview of the U.S. option market, including details on market regulation and the trading processes for all 16 constituent option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847927
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075173
We define a delayed disclosure ratio (DD) as the fraction of 10-Q financial statement items that are withheld at the earlier quarterly earnings announcement. We find that higher DD firms have a greater delay in investor and analyst response to earnings surprises: (i) the fraction of total market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903178
Theories of customer supplier relationships hold that the private information of suppliers about buyers explains the use of trade credit even when there is a competitive banking sector. If suppliers possess private information about their buyers, then the buyer's order size and ability to pay on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892573
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988414
The documented decline in the information content of earnings numbers has paralleled the emergence of disclosures, mostly voluntary, of industry-specific key performance indicators (KPIs). We find that the incremental information content conveyed by KPI news is significant for many KPIs, yet it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901687
Theories of customer supplier relationships hold that the private information of suppliers about buyers explains the use of trade credit even when there is a competitive banking sector. If suppliers possess private information about their buyers, then the buyer's order size and ability to pay on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479507