We present three conditions for a demography-driven middle-income trap and show that many economies in East, South, and Southeast Asia satisfy all of them. The conditions are (1) support ratio—the ratio of workers to consumers—matters for economic growth, (2) economic development accompanies...

Asia's rapid population aging fortifies the case for strengthening human capital investments. Further, the experience of the newly industrialized economies suggests that human capital investments will be a vital ingredient of the transition from middle income to high income. Those investments...

We consider the nexus of intra-household transfers, the sex composition of the sibship, and parental retirement behavior in Korea. We provide evidence that the cost of raising sons is higher than it is for daughters in Korea. Thus, in the absence of sufficient transfers from adult sons to...

Asia as a whole is experiencing a rapid demographic transition toward older populations, though different countries are at different stages of this region wide trend. We document Asia's aging population, describe the region's old-age support systems, and highlight the regional socioeconomic...

We describe the complex support systems in Asia and highlight their importance for economic growth and fiscal sustainability. Familial transfers for old age support are significant in many Asian economies, though their extent varies quite widely, and public transfer systems are less significant....

The recent episode of globalization has helped promote economic growth through trade and capital flows, but has also created vulnerability to external shocks. Korea’s globalization strategies are facing new challenges and opportunities since the global financial crisis in 2008. Korea needs to...

The present study first examines the trends in age structural shifts in selected Asian economies over the period 1950–2050 and analyzes their impact on economic growth in terms of the first and second demographic dividends computed from the system of National Transfer Accounts. Then, using the...

Asia is aging, although there is significant heterogeneity across subregions and economies. Population aging poses two strategic challenges for the region: sustaining economic growth and delivering old-age economic security. In this paper, we leverage the lifecycle perspective-that individuals'...

The present study first examines the trends in age structural shifts in selectedAsian economies over the period 1950–2050 and analyzes their impact oneconomic growth in terms of the first and second demographic dividendscomputed from the system of National Transfer Accounts. Then, using...

We explore how demographic changes in the Asia and Pacific region are likely to influence economic growth and other features of the regional economy. While many low-income countries in the region will continue to experience a demographic dividend, over time population aging could drag on...