This paper proposes and tests a new framework for weighting recursive out-of-sample prediction errors in accordance with their corresponding in-sample estimation uncertainty. In essence, we show how as much information from the sample as possible can be used in the evaluation of prediction...

This article considers the application to regional price data of time series methods to test stationarity, multivariate cointegration and exogeneity. The discovery of stationary price differentials in a bivariate setting implies that the series are rendered stationary by capturing a common trend...

This article describes a characterisation of competitive market behaviour using the concepts of cointegration analysis. It requires all (n) firms to set prices to follow a single stochastic trend (equivalently the vector of n prices should have cointegrating rank n-1). This implies that, in the...

Co-integration, equilibrium and equilibrium correction are key concepts in modern applications of econometrics to real world problems. This book provides direction and guidance to the now vast literature facing students and graduate economists. Econometric theory is linked to practical issues...

This paper evaluates the extent to which the performance of English Premier League football club managers can be attributed to skill or luck when measured separately from the characteristics of the team. We first use a specification that models managerial skill as a fixed effect and we examine...

This study investigates the differential impact that various dimensions of corporate social performance have on the pricing of corporate debt as well as the assessment of the credit quality of specific bond issues. The empirical analysis, based on an extensive longitudinal dataset, suggests that...

Most previous studies demonstrating the influential role of the textual information released by the media on stock market performance have concentrated on earnings-related disclosures. By contrast, this paper focuses on disposal announcements, so that the impacts of listed companies'...