The two-step GMM estimators of Arellano and Bond (1991) and Blundell and Bond (1998) for dynamic panel data models have been widely used in empirical work; however, neither of them performs well in small samples with weak instruments. The continuous-updating GMM estimator proposed by Hansen,...

The two-step GMM estimators of Arellano and Bond (1991) and Blundell and Bond (1998) for dynamic panel data models have been widely used in empirical work; however, neither of them performs well in small samples with weak instruments. The continuous-updating GMM estimator proposed by Hansen,...

The two-step GMM estimators of Arellano and Bond (1991) and Blundell and Bond (1998) for dynamic panel data models have been widely used in empirical work; however, neither of them performs well in small samples with weak instruments. The continuous-updating GMM estimator proposed by Hansen,...

It is widely-known that different methods of detrending data yield different business cycle features. The choice of the detrending method, however, is usually arbitrarily made. This paper aims at revealing potential pitfalls of different detrending methods for the estimation of a standard...

This paper shows that monetary policy has uneven impacts on local housing markets, and that the magnitude of the impacts are correlated with housing supply regulations. We apply the linearized present value model, which allows the log rent-price ratio to be decomposed into the expected present...

This paper studies the optimal interest rate rule in a DSGE model with housing market spillovers (Iacoviello and Neri (2010)). We find that the optimal rule responds to house price inflation even when the stabilization of house price is not among the objectives of the policymaker, and that the...

This paper develops a theoretical and empirical framework to assess the heterogeneous effects of mortgage rates on housing returns when accounting for the zero lower bound regime of the policy interest rate and state-level supply and demand conditions. Based on an interacted panel VAR estimated...

This paper develops a DSGE framework featuring a heterogeneous housing market, endogenousdefault, and a banking sector. We find that the idiosyncratic mortgage risk shock plays an importantrole in explaining the fluctuations of house prices during the mid-1980s and the years leading up tothe...

The slope of the yield curve has long been found to be a useful predictor of future economic activity, but the relationship is unstable. One change we have identified in this paper is that, starting from the 1990s, movements at the long end of the yield curve have an increase in predictive...