We consider a risk-aware multi-armed bandit framework with the goal of avoiding catastrophic risk. Such a framework has multiple applications in financial risk management. We introduce a new conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) estimation procedure combining extreme value theory with automated...

Much of the classical work on algorithms for multi-armed bandits focuses on rewards that are stationary over time. By contrast, we study multi-armed bandit (MAB) games, where the rewards obtained by an agent also depend on how many other agents choose the same arm (as might be the case in many...

Insurers issuing segregated fund policies apply dynamic hedging to mitigate risks related to guarantees embedded in such policies. A typical industry practice consists of using fund mapping regressions to represent basis risk stemming from the imperfect correlation between the underlying fund...

Unlike delta-hedging or similar methods based on Greeks, global hedging is an approach that optimizes some terminal criterion that depends on the difference between the value of a derivative security and that of its hedging portfolio at maturity or exercise. Global hedging methods in discrete...

We develop a flexible discrete-time hedging methodology that minimizes the expected value of any desired penalty function of the hedging error within a general regime-switching framework. A numerical algorithm based on backward recursion allows for the sequential construction of an optimal...

An empirical comparison of prices for two categories of financial derivatives of the NYISO power market, namely Transmission Congestion Contracts (TCCs) and futures contracts, is performed. The objective is to assess whether these two categories of derivatives are priced consistently, as their...

Statistical learning models are proposed for the prediction of the probability of a spike in the electricity DART (day-ahead minus real-time price) spread. Assessing the likelihood of DART spikes is of paramount importance for virtual bidders, among others. The model's performance is evaluated...

The current paper illustrates the use of principal component analysis (PCA) on the congestion component of local (i.e. zonal) electricity price data to detect the most salient congestion patterns in electricity transmission grids managed by either a Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) or an...

Local and global quadratic hedging are alternatives to delta hedging that more appropriately address the hedging problem in incomplete markets. The objective of this article is to investigate and contrast the effectiveness of these strategies under GARCH models, both experimentally and...

A new parametric representation of implied volatility surfaces is proposed. The factors adequately capture the moneyness and maturity slopes, the smile attenuation, and the smirk. Furthermore, the implied volatility specification is twice continuously differentiable and well behaved...